[Superpowers]

PPP: China already taking over USA in 2016
GDP: When will China take over USA in GDP, 2030?

CIA FACTBOOK RANKING

One thing strange is that majority of the Chinese people themselves don’t think China will overtake USA in short time.

But according to GDP (PPP) data, if China keeps current economy growth rate of 8% per year, it is possible that China will become the largest economy before 2018.

SOURCE

WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States is still viewed as the world’s leading economic power in many countries, according to polls in 39 nations by the Pew Research Center’s Global Attitudes Project. But as the Great Recession has buffeted the U.S. economy, China has gained rapidly in the eyes of the rest of the world, and many say it ultimately will replace America as the world’s top global economic force.

In 22 of the 39 nations polled, the U.S. is seen as the top global economy, while China is viewed as having the upper hand in eight countries, including U.S. allies Canada, Britain, Germany and France. Surprisingly, Americans are about evenly divided over which country has the stronger economy, with 44 percent saying China and 39 percent the United States.

Since 2008, the population share that calls China the world’s top economy has just about doubled in Spain, Germany and Britain, nearly tripled in Russia, and gained 22 points in France. Of the 20 countries Pew surveyed in both 2008 and 2013, all but two are now significantly more likely to say China is the world’s leading economic power.

In 18 of the countries polled, half or more believe China has or will replace the U.S. as the world’s top economic force, while majorities in only three believe the U.S. will maintain its top economic position.

The surveys, conducted before news about the NSA’s surveillance programs broke, also found that 37 of the 39 countries saw the U.S. as a good steward of individual liberty than a poor one.

Before leaks of classified documents revealed widespread U.S. tracking of Internet communications among people in other countries, many said they were confident President Barack Obama would do the right thing in world affairs, including 88 percent in Germany and 83 percent in France, two allies whose official reactions to the spying program have been broadly negative. Few in those nations think the U.S. gives their countries’ concerns much weight when setting foreign policy; just 35 percent in France and half in Germany say America considers their interests at least “a fair amount.”

Other findings from the surveys:

— The U.S. is viewed favorably by a majority in 28 of the 38 other nations tracked in the poll, with favorability ratings above 80 percent in Ghana, Senegal and Kenya in Africa, Israel in the Middle East and the Philippines in Asia. America fares worst in the Middle East, where most have an unfavorable opinion in five of seven nations surveyed, including 81 percent with a negative view in Egypt and 70 percent unfavorable in Turkey.

— Among those in nations that receive U.S. economic aid, Egyptians and Pakistanis are more apt to say the assistance is having a negative impact on their country, while other African nations surveyed view such assistance as a positive influence.

— Majorities in just three of the 39 countries say they approve of the U.S. use of drones to target extremists: Israel (64 percent approve), the United States (61 percent approve) and Kenya (56 percent approve).

— More than 9 in 10 in Japan (96 percent) and South Korea (91 percent) say that China’s growing military power is a bad thing.

The Pew Research Center interviewed 37,653 respondents in 39 countries from March 2 through May 1, 2013. Interviews were conducted face-to-face or by telephone, depending on the country, and are representative of at least 95 percent of the adult population of each nation except for China and Pakistan, where the samples were disproportionately urban, Argentina, Bolivia, Greece, Indonesia and Malaysia, where some difficult to reach or rural populations were excluded, and the Czech Republic and Japan, where interviews were conducted either by cellular or landline telephone only.

CHINESE VERSION

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清华大学院长:2023年中国必成超级大国

2013-11-11 21:48:27 明镜月刊

而清华大学知名教授阎学通:中国到2023年会成为超级大国,世界将形成中美两极格局。

他在新书《历史的惯性》一书中预测:未来十年,人民币兑美元汇率将升至1:5;2023年美国的GDP将为19万亿美元,届时中国的GDP按照当前的汇率换算将为17万亿美元,按届时的汇率计算将超过美国;2023年人民币对其他货币的影响力将达到美元影响力的50%甚至更高水平,人民币、美元和欧元可能构成三足鼎立之势;2023年,中国将拥有载人的太空工作站、至少3个服役的航母舰队(有可能建成5艘航母)、4~5艘携带射程8,000千米导弹的战略核潜艇、部署部队的第五代战斗机(歼-20和歼-31)。一言以蔽之,中国将会在2023年成为超级大国,世界将迎来中美两极格局。

阎学通指出,中国与其他大国的关系可以分为不同等级:友好关系是中俄关系;普通关系中有中德关系、中法关系、中印关系、中英关系;新型大国关系是中美关系;对抗关系是中日关系。

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China Set to Overtake U.S. as Biggest Economy by 2016 According to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), by 2016 China will replace the United States as the world’s biggest economy. Although China’s economy slowed to 7.8 percent growth last year, which was the lowest rate in ten years, this year the growth rate should be 8.5 percent and next year 8.9 percent. The OECD stated, “There is significant scope for further catch-up in China; China has a strong record with respect to several of the key factors for sustaining growth and is well positioned to emulate the… Read more »